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BTCUSD Daily Analysis Based on Main Key Levels – 31 March 2025

  • Neom
  • 7 days ago
  • 1 min read

Daily Current Market Price (DCMP): 82,233


🗝️ Critical Price Framework


Below DCMP (Support):


🟢 81,469 (Structural Swing Low Anchor)

🟢 79,765 (High-Liquidity Zone)


Above DCMP (Resistance):


🔴 84,227 (Immediate Swing High)

🔴 86,896 (Multi-Week Barrier)


🌐 Market Context


Swing Levels (4H/Daily):


◼ Daily Swing High: 88,772

◼ Daily Swing Low: 81,138


Fibonacci Framework:


▫ 61.8% Retracement Cluster: 81,725–82,470 (Reversal Watch)

▫ 38.2% Extension Threshold: 83,674 (Breakout Catalyst)


📊 Technical Momentum Snapshot


✅ RSI Divergence: Neutral at 49.8, no clear directional bias

✅ MACD Signal: Bullish histogram fading near zero line

✅ Volume Profile: Heavy liquidity at 81,469–82,470 range



💡 Trade Idea 1: Intraday Buy Setup


Entry: 🎯81,469 (Fibonacci & Historical Support Confluence)

Stop Loss: ⚠️79,765 (Below Liquidity Pool)

Take Profit 1: 🏁82,470 (Immediate Resistance)

Take Profit 2: 🚩83,674 (Breakout Acceleration Zone)


Rationale:


Bullish order block formation at 81,400–81,600

Positive funding rate divergence observed


💡 Trade Idea 2: Intraday Sell Setup


Entry: 🎯84,227 (Multi-Timeframe Resistance)

Stop Loss: ⚠️86,896 (Above Swing High)

Take Profit 1: 🏁82,470 (Pivot Retest)

Take Profit 2: 🚩81,469 (Liquidity Grab Zone)


Rationale:


Bearish rejection at 84,000–84,500 supply zone

Negative delta divergence on 4H timeframe


📉 Strategic Observations


Price Magnetism:


Institutional activity concentrated at 82,470 (200-period MA)


Sentiment Shift:


Exchange reserves declining despite price stagnation


On-Chain Signal:


NUPL metric indicates neutral market sentiment


🔭 Forward Guidance


Monitor:


◼ Sustained close above 84,227 → Targets 86,896

◼ Breakdown below 81,469 → Opens 79,765 retest


Note: Implement tight stop-loss strategies (1-2% risk tolerance) given elevated volatility expectations post-London session open.


📌 Key Insight:


BTCUSD consolidates between 81,469–84,227. Prioritize mean-reversion strategies at tested technical zones with strict risk management protocols.

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