EURUSD Daily Analysis Based on Main Key Levels – 31 March 2025

Daily Current Market Price (DCMP): 1.08397

🗝️ Critical Price Framework

Below DCMP (Support):

🟢 1.07595 (Structural Swing Low)

🟢 1.07299 (Major Fib Anchor)

Above DCMP (Resistance):

🔴 1.09327 (Multi-Timeframe Barrier)

🔴 1.08552 (Immediate Swing High)

🌐 Market Context

Swing Levels (4H/Daily):

◼ Daily Swing High: 1.09548

◼ Daily Swing Low: 1.07330

Fibonacci Framework:

▫ 61.8% Retracement Zone: 1.07828–1.08134 (Reversal Watch)

▫ 38.2% Extension: 1.08936 (Bullish Breakout Threshold)

📊 Technical Momentum Snapshot

✅ RSI Divergence: Bearish at 42.1, signaling downside pressure

✅ MACD Signal: Histogram shrinking near zero line (indecision)

✅ Volume Profile: Liquidity spike at 1.08074–1.08134

💡 Trade Idea 1: Intraday Buy Setup

Entry: 🎯1.08074 (Weekly Pivot & Fib Confluence)

Stop Loss: ⚠️1.07595 (Below Swing Low)

Take Profit 1: 🏁1.08630 (Near-Term Resistance)

Take Profit 2: 🚩1.08936 (Key Fib Extension)

Rationale:

Bullish engulfing pattern at 1.08000 psychological level

Hidden bullish divergence on 4H Stochastic oscillator

💡 Trade Idea 2: Intraday Sell Setup

Entry: 🎯1.08552 (Weekly Resistance Cluster)

Stop Loss: ⚠️1.08936 (Above Fib Barrier)

Take Profit 1: 🏁1.08134 (Pivot Retest)

Take Profit 2: 🚩1.07828 (Volume Gap Fill)

Rationale:

Bearish pin bar rejection at 1.08550 zone

Overbought conditions on 1H timeframe

📉 Strategic Observations

Price Magnetism:

Institutional interest concentrated at 1.08134 (200-period MA)

Sentiment Shift:

COT data shows net short positions rising among speculators

Event Risk:

ECB speech on Thursday may trigger volatility near 1.08000

🔭 Forward Guidance

Monitor:

◼ Break above 1.08552 → Targets 1.08936

◼ Close below 1.08074 → Opens 1.07595 retest

Note: Tight stops recommended due to compressed volatility. Confirm trades with 4H candle closes.

📌 Key Insight:

EURUSD consolidates between 1.07595–1.08552. Prioritize counter-trend entries at tested technical zones with strict risk parameters.