GBPUSD Daily Analysis Based on Main Key Levels – 31 March 2025

Daily Current Market Price (DCMP): 1.29613

🗝️ Critical Price Framework

Below DCMP (Support):

🟢 1.29346 (Swing Low Confluence)

🟢 1.28883 (High-Liquidity Zone)

Above DCMP (Resistance):

🔴 1.29809 (Immediate Swing High)

🔴 1.30149 (Multi-Session Barrier)

🌐 Market Context

Swing Levels:

◼ Structural Swing High: 1.30149

◼ Structural Swing Low: 1.28710

Fibonacci Framework:

▫ 61.8% Retracement Cluster: 1.29154–1.29438 (Reversal Zone)

▫ 127.2% Extension Threshold: 1.29723 (Breakout Catalyst)

📊 Technical Momentum Snapshot

✅ RSI Divergence: Neutral at 49.8 (4H bearish divergence fading)

✅ MACD Signal: Histogram nearing zero line crossover

✅ Volume Profile: Heavy liquidity at 1.29263–1.29614

💡 Trade Idea 1: Intraday Buy Setup

Entry: 🎯1.29346 (Confluence of Weekly Pivot & Fib Support)

Stop Loss: ⚠️1.28978 (Below Swing Low Anchor)

Take Profit 1: 🏁1.29723 (Immediate Resistance)

Take Profit 2: 🚩1.30149 (Structural High Retest)

Rationale:

Bullish hidden divergence on 4H chart

Oversold conditions on hourly timeframe

💡 Trade Idea 2: Intraday Sell Setup

Entry: 🎯1.29809 (Confluence of Swing High & Fib Extension)

Stop Loss: ⚠️1.30558 (Above Multi-Session High)

Take Profit 1: 🏁1.29438 (Retracement Base)

Take Profit 2: 🚩1.28883 (Liquidity Pool)

Rationale:

Bearish rejection at 1.29898 resistance cluster

Negative correlation with USD strength resurgence

📉 Strategic Observations

Price Magnetism:

Institutional orders clustered at 1.29438 (200-period EMA)

Sentiment Shift:

Rising Brexit-related hedging activity

Event Risk:

Thursday’s BoE policy decision may amplify volatility

🔭 Forward Guidance

Monitor:

◼ Sustained close above 1.29809 → Targets 1.30149

◼ Breakdown below 1.29346 → Opens 1.28883 retest

Note: Implement 1:2.5 risk-reward ratios with trailing stops. Confirm trades with closing price confirmation beyond key levels.

📌 Key Insight:

GBPUSD consolidates between 1.29346–1.29809. Prioritize range-bound strategies at tested technical boundaries with 0.75% risk tolerance, aligning with liquidity pool dynamics.