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 💷 GBPUSD Daily Analysis Based on Main Key Levels – April 1, 2025

Daily Current Market Price (DCMP): 1.29242


Market Context: Trading above immediate support at 1.28923 / below resistance cluster at 1.29584-1.29788


🔑 Critical Price Architecture


Demand Zones:


✅ Structural Support: 1.28719-1.28923 (Fib 61.8% Retracement Cluster)

⚠️ Breakdown Threshold: 1.28710 (4H Swing Low Anchor)


Supply Barriers:


⛔️ Upper Resistance: 1.29788-1.30118 (Multi-Timeframe Supply Confluence)

🚀 Bullish Catalyst: 1.30149 (Daily Swing High)


Swing Reference:


🔺 Swing High: 1.30149 (Daily Chart Peak)

🔻 Swing Low: 1.28710 (4H Chart Trough)


📊 Technical Configuration


Fibonacci Framework:


38.2% Retracement at 1.29253 aligns with liquidity pool

61.8% Extension at 1.29788 matches historical resistance


Momentum Dynamics:


⚡ RSI: Neutral at 52 with bearish divergence on 4H chart

📉 MACD: Bearish crossover confirmed below signal line



💡 Tactical Trade Blueprint


Intraday Buy Setup


🎯 Entry: 1.28883 (Demand Zone & Fib 61.8% Convergence)

🛑 Stop Loss: 1.28710 (Below Swing Low)

🎯 Take Profit 1: 1.29253 (Pivot Retest)

🎯 Take Profit 2: 1.29584 (Lower Resistance Band)


Rationale: Reversion play at deep support with RSI showing oversold conditions.


Intraday Sell Setup


🎯 Entry: 1.29346 (Resistance Zone & Fib 38.2% Retracement)

🛑 Stop Loss: 1.29788 (Above Supply Cluster)

🎯 Take Profit 1: 1.28923 (Immediate Support)

🎯 Take Profit 2: 1.28719 (Structural Demand)


Rationale: Bearish rejection likely at resistance with MACD confirming downside momentum.


📍 Strategic Outlook


Price consolidates between 1.28923 (Fib 61.8%) and 1.29584 (lower resistance). Sustained break above 1.29788 opens path to 1.30149. Downside risk escalates below 1.28710 with 1.28388 as next bearish target.


Risk Alert: Monitor UK inflation data for GBP volatility triggers. 💹

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