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Gold Daily Analysis Based on Main Key Levels – 31 March 2025

  • Neom
  • 5 days ago
  • 1 min read

Daily Current Market Price (DCMP): 3110


🗝️ Key Price Framework


Below DCMP (Support):


🟢 3006 (Critical Swing Low)

🟢 2973 (Major Structural Support)


Above DCMP (Resistance):


🔴 3142 (Upper Fib Barrier)

🔴 3110 (Immediate Swing High)


🌐 Market Overview


Swing Levels (4H/Daily):


◼ Daily Swing High: 2999

◼ Daily Swing Low: 2956


Fibonacci Framework:


▫ 61.8% Retracement Zone: 3042–3063 (Key Reversal Area)

▫ 38.2% Extension: 3088 (Near-Term Resistance)


📊 Technical Indicators Snapshot


✅ RSI Divergence: Neutral at 48.7, no clear directional bias

✅ MACD Signal: Bearish crossover fading on 4H chart

✅ Volume Profile: Liquidity cluster at 3055–3075



💡 Trade Idea 1: Intraday Buy Setup


Entry: 🎯3006 (Weekly Pivot Confluence)

Stop Loss: ⚠️2973 (Below Swing Low)

Take Profit 1: 🏁3055 (Fib Retracement Zone)

Take Profit 2: 🚩3075 (Pivot Resistance)


Rationale:


Price interaction with 100-period moving average

Bullish hammer pattern observed at 3000–3010 zone


💡 Trade Idea 2: Intraday Sell Setup


Entry: 🎯3142 (Weekly Resistance Cluster)

Stop Loss: ⚠️3160 (Above Fib Extension)

Take Profit 1: 🏁3110 (DCMP Re-Test)

Take Profit 2: 🚩3075 (Volume Gap Fill)


Rationale:


Bearish rejection at 3140–3150 supply zone

Hidden bearish divergence on 1H timeframe


📉 Critical Technical Observations


Pivot Hierarchy:


3075 acts as immediate bullish/bearish threshold


Price Magnetism:


Strong institutional interest at 3055–3042 zone


Sentiment Shift:


COT data shows reduced speculative long positions


🔭 Forward Guidance

Watch for:


◼ Sustained break above 3110 → Targets 3142

◼ Close below 3006 → Opens 2973 retest


Note: All trades require confirmation through 4H candle closes. Tight risk management advised amid low volatility conditions.


📌 Key Takeaway:


Gold remains range-bound between 2973–3142. Focus on counter-trend setups at tested technical levels with strict stop-loss discipline.

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