NASDAQ Daily Analysis Based on Main Key Levels – 31 March 2025

Daily Current Market Price (DCMP): 18,989

🗝️ Critical Price Framework

Below DCMP (Support):

🟢 18,832 (Fib 61.8% Retracement & Swing Low Anchor)

🟢 18,387 (High-Liquidity Zone)

Above DCMP (Resistance):

🔴 19,108 (Immediate Swing High)

🔴 20,720 (Multi-Session Barrier)

🌐 Market Context

Swing Levels:

◼ Structural Swing High: 22,239

◼ Structural Swing Low: 19,109

Fibonacci Framework:

▫ 61.8% Retracement Cluster: 18,980–19,133 (Reversal Zone)

▫ 127.2% Extension Threshold: 20,027 (Breakout Catalyst)

📊 Technical Momentum Snapshot

✅ RSI Divergence: Neutral at 52.1 (4H bullish momentum fading)

✅ MACD Signal: Bearish crossover below signal line (weak momentum)

✅ Volume Profile: Heavy liquidity at 19,380–19,780 range

💡 Trade Idea 1: Intraday Buy Setup

Entry: 🎯 18,832 (Confluence of Fib Support & Swing Low)

Stop Loss: ⚠️ 18,387 (Below Key Liquidity Pool)

Take Profit 1: 🏁 19,108 (Immediate Resistance)

Take Profit 2: 🚩 20,720 (Structural High Retest)

Rationale:

Bullish hammer pattern on 4H timeframe at 18,832

Fed rate cut expectations boosting tech sector sentiment

💡 Trade Idea 2: Intraday Sell Setup

Entry: 🎯 19,108 (Confluence of Swing High & Fib Extension)

Stop Loss: ⚠️ 19,780 (Above Multi-Session Resistance)

Take Profit 1: 🏁 18,832 (Retracement Base)

Take Profit 2: 🚩 18,387 (Liquidity Grab Zone)

Rationale:

Bearish rejection at 20,027 resistance cluster

Rising Treasury yields pressuring growth stocks

📉 Strategic Observations

Price Magnetism:

Institutional orders clustered at 19,380 (200-period EMA)

Sentiment Shift:

AI sector earnings optimism vs. valuation concerns

Event Risk:

Thursday’s PCE inflation data may drive volatility

🔭 Forward Guidance

Monitor:

◼ Sustained close above 19,108 → Targets 20,720

◼ Breakdown below 18,832 → Opens 18,387 retest

Note: Implement 1:3 risk-reward ratios with trailing stops. Confirm trades with closing price breaks beyond key levels.

📌 Key Insight:

NASDAQ consolidates between 18,832–19,108. Prioritize range-bound strategies at tested technical boundaries with 1.5% risk tolerance, aligning with Fed policy-driven liquidity shifts.