💹 USDJPY Daily Analysis Based on Main Key Levels – April 1, 2025

Daily Current Market Price (DCMP): 149.988

Market Context: Trading above immediate support at 149.048 / below resistance cluster at 150.245-150.614

🔑 Critical Price Framework

Demand Zones:

✅ Structural Support: 148.679-149.048 (Fib 61.8% Retracement Zone)

⚠️ Breakdown Threshold: 148.174 (4H Swing Low)

Supply Barriers:

⛔️ Upper Resistance: 150.848-151.213 (Multi-Timeframe Supply Confluence)

🚀 Bullish Breakout Level: 151.306 (Daily Swing High)

Swing Reference:

🔺 Swing High: 151.306 (Daily Chart Peak)

🔻 Swing Low: 148.174 (4H Chart Trough)

📊 Technical Configuration

Fibonacci Framework:

38.2% Retracement at 149.647 aligns with liquidity pool

61.8% Extension at 150.848 matches historical resistance

Momentum Dynamics:

⚡ RSI: Neutral at 54 with bearish divergence on 4H chart

📉 MACD: Histogram below zero line (bearish momentum confirmed)

💡 Tactical Trade Blueprint

Intraday Buy Setup

🎯 Entry: 148.287 (Demand Zone & Fib 61.8% Convergence)

🛑 Stop Loss: 148.081 (Below Structural Support)

🎯 Take Profit 1: 149.048 (Immediate Resistance)

🎯 Take Profit 2: 149.432 (Upper Retracement Zone)

Rationale: Reversion play at deep Fib level with oversold RSI conditions.

Intraday Sell Setup

🎯 Entry: 150.848 (Supply Cluster & Fib 61.8% Extension)

🛑 Stop Loss: 151.213 (Above Swing High)

🎯 Take Profit 1: 149.647 (Fib 38.2% Support)

🎯 Take Profit 2: 148.995 (Structural Demand Zone)

Rationale: Bearish rejection likely at resistance with MACD confirming downside bias.

📍 Strategic Outlook

Price consolidates between 149.647 (Fib 38.2%) and 150.245 (lower resistance). Sustained close above 150.614 opens path to 151.306. Downside risk escalates below 148.679 with 147.500 as next bearish target.

Risk Alert: Monitor BoJ intervention rhetoric for JPY volatility triggers. 💰