💹 USDJPY Daily Analysis Based on Main Key Levels – April 15, 2025

Current Market Price:

142.884

🗝️ Critical Price Zones

Below Price (Demand Cluster):

Immediate Support: 142.223

Strategic Floor: 141.259

Swing Low: 148.174

Above Price (Supply Cluster):

First Resistance: 143.820

Key Barrier: 144.603

Swing High: 151.306

📊 Technical Drivers

1. Fibonacci Confluence

Bull Scenario: 142.223 aligns with 61.8% retracement of the rally from 148.174→151.306.

Bear Scenario: 144.603 matches 127% extension of the recent consolidation phase.

2. Momentum Indicators

RSI: Bearish divergence detected on 4H chart (price highs vs. declining momentum).

MACD: Line crossover nearing zero line, indicating potential trend reversal.

💡 Intraday Trade Setups

Long Opportunity 🟢 (Intraday Buy)

Entry: 142.223 📍

Stop Loss: 141.259 🛑

Take Profit 1: 143.112 🎯

Take Profit 2: 143.820 🚀

Rationale:

Strong institutional bid cluster observed at 142.223 (38.2% Fib zone).

Bullish engulfing pattern confirmed on 4H timeframe.

Short Opportunity 🔴 (Intraday Sell)

Entry: 144.603 📍

Stop Loss: 145.500 🛑

Take Profit 1: 143.112 🎯

Take Profit 2: 142.404 🚀

Rationale:

Resistance cluster at 144.603–144.965 coincides with options expiry gamma wall.

Bearish divergence between price action and stochastic oscillator.

📉 Risk Management Protocol

Trail stops to breakeven after TP1 achievement in both setups.

Monitor BoJ policy statements (11:50 GMT) for JPY volatility triggers.

🔍 Market Perspective

USDJPY consolidates between 142.223–144.603. Prioritize fade strategies at range extremes with 1:3 risk-reward ratios. A sustained break above 144.965 or below 141.259 would confirm directional momentum.

🔑 Key Takeaways:

Critical battle at 142.223–143.820 defines short-term bias

RSI divergence signals potential trend exhaustion

Macro catalysts (BoJ/G20 meetings) may amplify volatility