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 ⛽ USOIL Daily Analysis Based on Main Key Levels – April 15, 2025

  • Neom
  • 2 days ago
  • 1 min read

Current Market Price:


61.73


🗝️ Critical Price Zones


Below Price (Demand Cluster):


Immediate Support: 60.15

Strategic Floor: 59.57

Swing Low: 68.87


Above Price (Supply Cluster):


First Resistance: 63.48

Key Barrier: 63.61

Swing High: 73.11


📊 Technical Drivers


1. Fibonacci Confluence


Bull Scenario: 60.15 aligns with 50% retracement of the decline from 73.11→59.57.

Bear Scenario: 63.48 corresponds to 127% extension of the recent rebound phase.


2. Momentum Indicators


RSI: Bullish divergence detected on 4H chart (price lows vs. rising momentum).

MACD: Signal line crossover above zero suggests short-term bullish bias.



💡 Intraday Trade Setups


Long Opportunity 🟢 (Intraday Buy)


Entry: 60.15 📍

Stop Loss: 59.57 🛑

Take Profit 1: 61.59 🎯

Take Profit 2: 62.36 🚀


Rationale:


Institutional accumulation zone at 60.15 (38.2% Fib level).

Bullish engulfing pattern confirmed on 1H timeframe.


Short Opportunity 🔴 (Intraday Sell)


Entry: 63.48 📍

Stop Loss: 63.61 🛑

Take Profit 1: 62.84 🎯

Take Profit 2: 61.73 🚀


Rationale:


Resistance cluster at 63.48–63.61 aligns with options expiry triggers.

Bearish divergence between price and volume oscillator.


📉 Risk Management Protocol


Trail stops to entry price after TP1 hit.

Monitor EIA crude inventories (14:30 GMT) for volatility catalysts.


🔍 Market Perspective


USOIL consolidates between 60.15–63.48. Prioritize range-bound strategies with 1:2 risk-reward ratios. A sustained break above 63.61 or below 59.57 would confirm directional bias.


🔑 Key Takeaways:


Pivotal battle at 60.15–63.48 defines near-term trajectory

RSI divergence signals potential trend reversal

Geopolitical catalysts (Middle East tensions) may amplify moves

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